Reid has typically had a more old-school approach on fourth downs but has shown a willingness at times to trust his offense. That proved crucial in the final game when Pederson’s famous “Philly Special” call at the end of the first half led to a trick play TD pass from Trey Burton to quarterback Nick Foles and a fourth-and-1 conversion in Eagles territory helped spark the game-winning drive in the fourth quarter. Pederson helped fuel the league-wide shift in decision making with the success he had going for it on fourth downs in Philadelphia’s Super Bowl-winning 2017 season. … The faith and the trust the coaches have in the players is pretty special.” If we get into third-and-manageable, fourth-and-manageable, it’s just trusting the play call. “If we get on the other side of the field, we know it’s four-down territory. “I’d say the biggest part about it is the trust the coaches have in the players and the players have in the coach,” tight end Dallas Goedert said. Hurts converted a fourth-and-3 on a deep pass to DeVonta Smith on the opening drive last week against San Francisco to set up a touchdown - even though the play might have been overturned had the 49ers challenged it. While much of that success has come in short-yardage situations where quarterback Jalen Hurts has thrived on sneaks that feature teammates giving him a legal push from behind - converting 27 of 31 runs on third or fourth-and-1 - the Eagles also have had success with more traditional plays. The Eagles have converted a league-best 25 fourth-down tries and an impressive clip of 71.4%. The analytics company has one of the best models for determining when NFL teams should go and when they should kick on fourth downs, using its win probability model that relies on historical play-by-play data adjusted for variables such as the strength and weaknesses of both teams, injuries and other factors.
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